A recap of the last couple of years…
1)
2) Cities marathon in July 2006 was a comfortable training run of 3:48 done in even splits (i.e. 1:54 and 1:54)
3)
4) My training had been great for Cities marathon in Jul 2007 and going into the taper I was pretty confident I could run 3:10. Then I got sick and only ran 41k in the final 3 weeks and was not feeling 100% on the day. Result was a 3:21. (Half splits 1:40 & 1:41)
So I have a handful of excuses of why my PB isn't better and therefore why 3:05 isn't such a stretch. Looking at McMillian calculator the equivalent performance for my PB's are:
5k (19:06) = 3:06:12
10k (39:29) = 3:05:18
Half (89:38) = 3:09:02
However, no one I know can run better than what McMillian thinks one should be able to for the marathon, as an equivalent performance of their shorter runs. If there is someone out there, I would like to talk to them.
The question is can I run 3:05 and an average pace of 4:23 in 22 weeks? Time will tell, however I am confident that if I put a good structured program together, I can achieve this. I have plenty of time and it wouldn't be a stretch goal if it wasn't a stretch right?
5 comments:
OK, fair enough! It's a realistic stretch :-)
The one issue that you have to reconcile yourself to if you sit in camp 2 is that it may take a long time (years?) to reach that goal, so you have to be prepared now to not give up then.
Somehow, I think you'll stick it.
Gnome
Stretch yes, difficult, I'm not sure, but as you know I have been an advocate of your abilities being better than what your race results may say for a while. Certainly you will need consistant and focused training, I'm looking forward to seeing where this takes you mate
Go for it Chris - you'll never know unless you give it a red hot go!
If you train smart and consistently, I'm pretty sure you'll get that 3:05 comfortably!
Good goal HB. I'd say it's achievable, and in 22 weeks, if you have a good plan and follow it. Get your 10k time down a bit on the way - 39ish.
Run a good race on the day too - minimal fade - 92/93 or 91/94 would work. Go for it!
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